MARDEN ran a nice race over waaay too short a distance on Wednesday and is absolutely locked in to the blackbook. The each way price more than paid for the day in a close finish. Tweets confirmed that he'll get better over longer. Stay with him.
Caulfield. Oh Dear. I just can't get excited about racing there. So many races seem to be leader biased and affected by literally the luck of the draw. We backed SATIN SHOES there a few weeks ago in the Quezette and will be on her again, even despite the extra 100m and the widest gate. Horses for courses? Hope so. $5 looks value again, but a tough race.
Have been keen on SHADOWS IN THE SUN since he won the SA Derby and the booking of D Oliver first up is interesting. 1700m, first up? Leaders track? Who knows...
Nothing else from Melbourne thanks.
Rosehill has also been a bit "leadery" recently and it's worth saying that if it comes up that way tomorrow, all these bets are, as they say, off...
Really like one of Bart's at odds this week. I put SHUSWAP into the blackbook a few weeks ago after she flew home on a leader's track at Randwick over 1300m. That was only a 1MW fillies race, but she finished so well I expected to see single figure odds next time she appeared. Centrebet went $26 yesterday and today's papers have both tipped her. The $4.90 a place looks like good shopping...
Sentiment is pulling me to both HOME ON A WING and BRAVE THE WAY but there's no value in the fixed odds. The form of HOAW's race when he beat Our Cannavaro and Essence of Success rads really well now. The price of $3.50? Not so much. And Brave the Way's race is just too hard. Unlike of course all the easy races. Doh.
Finally, SPOT THE ROCK looks nicely placed in the last, especially when you look at form around Rain Affair and Torio's Quest. Best of all, he won in that magic meeting at Scone in May. And we all know what happened to winners from that meeting. Shame he's such a short price, will be bunging him into a few doubles to extract some value from what looks like a tough day.
Have fun with whatever you back
